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Transcript
It's not bad. It's really not bad. No soggy bottom. In the United States, you call this a bagel. In the in the UK, we call it a flat fancy. This is Jasmine. In case you missed it, Jasmine won season sixteen of the Great British Bake Off. Is she technically and creatively an extremely talented baker? Yes. Of course she is. But is that the reason that she won? Also, yes. But what if there were Signs. Signals that we could have detected well before she made her way into the tent that might indicate her victorious hoisting of the glass cake platter stand that they give to you at the weird British circus at the end of the show. Her name has seven letters. She's a medical student. She hails from Edinburgh and recently celebrated her twenty third birthday. And according to our algorithm, according to our algorithm, she had a thirty percent chance of winning from the jump. Are these completely arbitrary demographics or signals of a coveted Paul Hollywood handshake? Both. Both. The answer is both. We looked at fourteen seasons of Great British Bake Off contestants, their hometowns, their ages, their professions, even the number of letters in their name. And we sought to understand if Paul and Pru have biases unbeknownst to them that maybe make those individuals more likely to win Star Baker or win a technical or win the whole thing. TLDR is they do. They're very, very subtle, but they're there. Like, if your name has seven to eight letters, you have a roughly one in five chance of actually going on to win the whole show. J a s m I n e? Roughly the same is true. Twenty percent of winners have professions of homemaker, retiree, engineer, or student, or someone that works in academia. And we built this website so you can actually see your odds of winning the show, agnostic of your baking ability, of course. I'm sure you're very talented. You seem very talented. What's your secret? Check your odds of winning or getting a handshake or winning a technical by visiting count dot co slash bank. Or if you wanna go into the weeds and see this much deeper analysis that we did of the data, I'll leave you with this trailer of a YouTube video, which is just fifteen glorious minutes of my face. More of my face. I'll leave you with the trailer. Enjoy. Funny enough, literally this week, I baked a pizza cake. So cake, which then looked like a pizza. We're past our baking primes. That's that's fair. Until until we retire. But that that that that would make till we retire. Well, even then, it's not great, is it? Oh, it's it's not ideal. Not for winning, at least. When I saw Richard and I and I and I looked closely, I thought to myself, they might be, like, bumping into each other at the same Brooks Brothers. This would be this this fits my mental model of the show. Okay. Good. And we now know that we are never gonna be bakers of the Great British Bake Off.